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3 Great Ways to Play Splits

February 27, 2008 Add comment

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There are actually five ways to play stocks that are splitting, but we wanted to highlight the three most profitable ways for

you. They are not necessarily good for day trading, but often daytraders will veer off course a little and make some hansome

profits playing stock splits. You should consider doing it also. Now here are the three ways we like to play splitters:

AFTER THE SPLIT ANNOUNCEMENT

Often times, the stock will develop a pattern of dropping back three to ten days after the announcement. This provides you

with an opportunity to take advantage of the split announcement. If you are playing calls this is when you buy what they call

“ dipping undervalued calls “. Many times you will have 2-4 chances to make this play before the stock actually splits. Just

make sure you carefully observe the chart patterns to confirm that the stock is pulling back and that there is a turn back to

the upside. Establish your exit points by looking at the prior highs.

PAY DATE

Historically, this play has very high odds of success and profit. If you are playing options, this play has you buying the

stock or option the day before the split. Pay careful attention to the stock pattern during the week of the stock split pay

date. Hopefully, you should be observing an upward pattern or at least a sideways channeling. Your best odds are to hold the

option throught the split ( note: you will now have twice as many options since they also split ). Sell your options within

2-3 days of the split, your odds are better if you purchase the closest month of the “ out-of-the-money “ call.

And please remember that there will always be other plays, so if the stock is tanking one or two days before the pay day,

don’t play it! Wait for the next one to come along that meets these guidelines.

POST SPLIT PLAY

Usually, the leaders in their industry group, such as Dell Computer, Intel and Microsoft, those companies that we the general

public and trading institutions most easily recognize, have a greater chance of moving upward than those that do not split.

Here again, observe the charts for a long dip and profit taking before you buy long term “in-the-money” options. If you

already own the stocks you can write ( sell ) “out-of-the-money“ calls to collect premiums and have good odds of being

“called out“ with a nice capital gain.

Now suppose your stock gets upgraded as it is going into a split, how to you play that?

Well, upgrades react very much like split announcements in their pattern of behavior. Generally on the day of the upgrade

they soar. This MIGHT last into the next day, and then they pullback on profit taking. After a few days of consolidation, and

if some fund money starts to show up, they begin climbing and can go for quite a few points. Use this concept after they have

started heading back up and you can capture some nice plays!

Use only upgrades and initiates from the major institutions. They are the ones that carry the most weight when they upgrade a stock.

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Tags: daytrading investing stocks gold silver commodities investor real estate

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Working With This Volatility

February 27, 2008 Add comment

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A lot of people wonder how in the world to make a trade in a market where choppy mood swings are an every day event. When

this happens, instead of blindly throwing money at a stock you think should run, you have to take into account what "could"

happen if you are on the wrong side of a huge drop.

What is the average trader to do? Well, during the worst volatility, sitting out is probably the wisest choice because you

can get so whipsawed it makes your head spin. But if you are one of the personality traits that says "I'll conquer this

volatility and anything else that gets in my way," here are some suggestions to help you do just that. First realize that

every average and every stock has a "trading range" that it goes through every day. For some issues it's only a 1/2 point,

but on some issues it can be much more. It becomes very necessary for you to look at some charts and get a feel for how much

your stock ranges in the course of normal trading before you can identify a move that is "outside" its "normal" course.

So what do you do about that "abnormal" move? Do you sell in fear, or hold and hope? Here is a tip for you that may help.

Unless a stock has some fundamental reason to move higher such as a news release, a stock split, an upgrade, etc. it will

pretty much behave in step with the overall market. A "good stock" in the tech sector may be up nicely and moving well with

the NASDAQ up 20 points, but if the NASDAQ tanks, you can bet your stock will too. So, your tech stock that is now down

outside the "normal range" could certainly be there because the NASDAQ as a whole is now down 40 points. Now the question

really isn't "what's wrong with my stock" because the answer is nothing, the question is "what's wrong with the NASDAQ?"

This is where technical analysis actually becomes important and learning to spot support levels comes in. Let's say that your

tech stock that just took a beating has good support at a certain level. If the move down hasn't violated that support level,

keeping the trade in play probably isn't a bad idea since chances are the NASDAQ will have a move to the upside and bring

your stock back up with it. But, if the loss violates that support level, bailing out may be the best choice since so many

buy/sell programs are based on resistance and support that it could cause even more damage to the issue.

On the other hand, if the stock you were in was a pure momentum play and support is several points below, it is often wisest

to cut your loss quickly and get out while you can. When a momentum stock gets pulled back outside it "normal" range, it is

often a bad sign, no matter what the averages are doing. So, in times of big volatility, knowing where technical support

levels are in your particular stock, will often help you decide if you are still "okay" or about to get creamed. Learn the

basics of reading a chart and study them so you can recognize support and resistance in a heartbeat, they will ultimately

help you a lot!

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Investment Strategies That Stand the Test of Time

Investment strategies that produce winners like these don't come from strictly reading charts, althou